Originally Posted by
lateapex911
That's a simplistic view. Lacking any larger picture view, it's dangerous to even discuss such things, but....
Assume that IT is added, and a "Top 24" rule is placed on the Runoffs. (Acck, I can't believe I'm even using this as an assumption, but it proves a point)
Guess what, certain classes don't go to Kansas next year, as ITA, ITS, will certainly displace the weaker classes. What happens to the subscribers of those classes?
1-Will they retire from racing as they were only in it for the Runoffs?
2-Will they retire from racing as they are getting too old (or insert other life effect issue here)for it anyway?
3-Will the subscribers drop out and leave SCCA to race with another organization?
4-Will they continue to race, but in Regionals?
5-Will they sell their car to a new incoming driver (like my friend who bought an e Prod car) and get a car that's in a more likely to make the Runoffs class?
Answer: All of the above, and we can't entirely predict the proportions.
Sub comments, by item:
1-Perhaps not as much of a loss as we might think, as some of them are the guys who show up to the absolute minimum of races and often run the minimum number of laps needed to get to the Runoffs. Are they really what we are about?
2-Losing a subscriber a year or two early sucks, but big picture, if it's a trade for a longer term subscriber, it's positive. I know, thats cold, but we're looking at numbers here, right?
3- That sucks, but the mechanics of doing so are daunting. likely, their car won't fit in an equivalent organization. So why switch? Why not remain and switch the car? Logically, this choice won't be common, unless there are revenge motives.
4- No loss, just a shift.
5- Ditto, but possibly a new conquest.
It's not a pure X in and Y out analysis. And even if it were, where we lost 130, but gained 150 NASA (or whatever)guys, you have to consider the possibility that those guys might bring others down the road.
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